Not without looking at the mirror
A thorough analysis of the election results with numbers should be done,
but the figures are still unofficial. It is meaningless to comment on
without the official results because figures vary from one paper to the
other, from one news agency to the other. Also, they lack adequate
details.
Nevertheless, there are certain analyses that can be
done without these details because each election, as a matter of fact,
says a lot about the political geography of the country and its future.
Parties
and individuals close to politics should not refrain from viewing the
election results with a realistic perspective. Yes, people tend to fool
themselves and it is possible to bend and twist figures, but the more
you distance yourself from the sentimental approach, the closer you get
to the correct conclusion.
There is a phenomenon that has become
quite clear with the outcome of this election, but which has also been
observed for the past four or five elections: There is only one party in
our country, which is the Justice and Development Party (AK Party) that
is in political competition nationwide, which is the first party in a
majority of the places, second in some places and the third party in a
few places.
And this party has several local opponents. The most
distinct local competition is the one between the Peace and Democracy
Party (BDP) and AK Party in Southeast Anatolia and partially in East
Anatolia.
However, the competition is between the AK Party and
Republican People’s Party (CHP) in Thrace, Istanbul, the coastal band of
the Aegean Region and in some cities such as
Ankara
and Eskişehir. In these regions, there is a partial Nationalist
Movement Party (MHP) strength as well, but to a limited degree.
Despite that, the competition is between the AK Party and the MHP in inner Aegean and certain central Anatolian cities.
Even
though it has been the third party to receive most of the votes, the
MHP, when compared to the second party the CHP, is observed to have had a
more even distribution nationwide, whereas
CHP votes seem to have been clustered at certain cities; moreover at certain districts of those cities.
When
viewed from the perspective of the AK Party, then there are only a few
cities and districts where this party has obtained less than 20 percent
of the votes. On the other hand, there are many cities and districts
where the CHP, MHP and BDP have not even received 10 percent of the
votes.
The
CHP
might not even exist in a significant portion of the country, in the
geographical sense, it is not able to obtain even 10 percent; however,
this party has a very serious presence in important population centers.
It is because of this that it has become the second party.
It is
indeed very important to have received more than 11 million votes and
being the second political party, but it is a matter of concern that the
distribution of these votes has a geographical imbalance.